A research simulation. Not a financial service

Know when to trust AI investment advice

Meet an AI investment advisor that explains itself. Describe an investor and get a recommended mix with the reasoning behind it.

  • Runs entirely in your browser
  • Nothing about you is stored
  • No real money involved
  • About two minutes to try

Researcher or reviewer? Start here instead

Age 38 · 18-year horizon · moderate risk tolerance

Recommended outcome

Growth

confidence94%
  • Global equities70%
  • Bonds20%
  • Cash and money market0%
  • Real assets10%

What drove this

  • Investment horizon: 18 yearssupports it
  • Age: 38 years oldweighs against it

Example investor 1 of 4

What the advisor does

Three steps from a person to a recommendation

  1. 1

    Describe an investor

    Age, investment horizon, risk tolerance and a few facts about their finances. Made up is fine.

  2. 2

    Get a recommendation

    One of five investment mixes ranging from capital preservation to aggressive growth. When the case calls for it the advisor refers you to a human adviser instead.

  3. 3

    See why in the style you choose

    Pick one of four explanation styles. Then decide whether you would trust what you were told.

Two advisors

Two ways of thinking about the same data

Both learned from the same 400 cases reviewed by a panel of financial experts. One reasons like a network and the other like a checklist.

Neural network

The AI advisor

Learns the pattern in the cases and explains each recommendation afterwards by working out how much every answer counted.

What counted for one example investor

Investment horizon 18 years
Age 38 years old
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Scorecard

The interpretable advisor

A points table you can read in full. Every answer adds or removes points for each outcome and the highest total wins. No step is hidden.

Three rows of the real table: risk capacity

ConservativeBalancedGrowth
Low-1.1-0.7-0.3
Moderate+0.6+0.9-0.5
High+0.4-0.2+0.8
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Explanations

Four ways to ask why

Pick any of them on the advisor page. Each is computed from the advisor's own numbers.

Why

Which of your answers pushed the advice and by how much.

What would change it

The smallest change to the situation that flips the advice.

How sure

The advisor's confidence with every other outcome shown beside it.

Ask it

A conversation about the recommendation grounded in the same numbers.

Outcomes

Five mixes and the option to say no

Each bar shows how a mix splits the money across four kinds of asset.

Mix 1 of 5

Capital preservation

Capital preservation first: mostly bonds and cash, a small equity sleeve.

Most of the money sits in bonds and cash, so the value moves little. Over long periods it may barely stay ahead of inflation, which is the price of that steadiness.

  • Global equities15%
  • Bonds50%
  • Cash and money market30%
  • Real assets5%

Why this matters

An explanation can help you judge advice or just make it sound convincing

Nobody yet knows which kinds do which. That is the question this advisor was built to answer.

Investment apps increasingly recommend what to do with your money and the recommendation comes from a model. Following it helps when the model is right. Following it costs real money when the model is wrong. Most people cannot tell which is which from the recommendation alone.

Explanations are meant to close that gap. Yet an explanation can also make wrong advice sound convincing. Which kinds of explanation help people judge rather than simply persuade is still an open question.

The study

Judge the advisor on six short cases

Read a case. See the recommendation with one kind of explanation. Say what you would do. Some recommendations are deliberately wrong and the debrief tells you which. The study is anonymous and takes about fifteen minutes with no account needed.